lesliepeters
0xb63d3b77f231308ffab6bc149f040d0ad5288ee8
- Realised P&L
- $89.28
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $11.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.720 | 1.000 | $5.21 | +$1.46 |
| Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · No | 0.640 | 0.630 | $3.32 | −$0.05 |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.735 | $2.46 | −$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 28? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$15.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.74at 0.279Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?
- +$20.85at 0.558Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?
- +$20.81at 0.570Predators vs. Kings
- +$16.22at 0.642Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?
- +$13.35at 0.268Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:32 | Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.37 |
| 09-27 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.2392202729 | $15.34 |
| 09-21 16:50 | Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikova | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-21 16:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 09-21 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.7199999923 | $3.75 |
| 09-18 20:20 | Eagles vs. Titans | BUY | 0.7599999982 | $17.14 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.259999989 | $4.74 |
| 09-09 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.7898154042 | $15.51 |
| 09-06 07:01 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.95 |
| 09-06 06:48 | T20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs Zimbabwe | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 04:04 | Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge? | BUY | 0.7899999731 | $2.64 |
| 09-06 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.7143396213 | $25.24 |
| 09-02 08:37 | M25+H Bagnères-de-Bigorre: Ruslan Serazhetdinov vs Philippe Renard | BUY | 0.4399999604 | $4.45 |
| 09-02 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.2299999512 | $3.16 |
| 08-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.179999954 | $2.66 |