PolyBot

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Traders

Theodorefox

0xb6359a0a1be0a336195eef11832c91df33dc38f6

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$10.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$26.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar50.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · No0.7900.845$8.56+$0.56
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · No0.6700.855$6.38+$1.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes0.6400.735$5.74+$0.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · No0.7200.680$5.67−$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$21.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 07:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.7199999952$6.00
10-18 07:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.64$5.00
10-18 07:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?BUY0.7899999802$8.00
07-15 20:25England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.2574999459$3.00
07-15 20:24England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6649999862$7.00
06-17 08:01Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.76$21.47
05-20 08:39New COVID variant of concern before 2027?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
05-20 08:38Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21?BUY0.2399999424$2.50
05-20 08:37Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21?BUY0.2899999383$3.10
05-20 08:37Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21?BUY0.1899999373$2.00
05-20 08:37Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21?BUY0.32$3.50
03-26 11:46Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5BUY0.52$5.20
03-10 14:28Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?BUY0.994$4.00
03-10 14:27Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?BUY0.9879999974$3.00
03-10 14:27Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 10?BUY0.995$3.00