Theodorefox
0xb6359a0a1be0a336195eef11832c91df33dc38f6
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $26.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar50.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $8.56 | +$0.56 |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · No | 0.670 | 0.855 | $6.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.735 | $5.74 | +$0.74 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · No | 0.720 | 0.680 | $5.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.490Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
- +$8.54at 0.267England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$7.48at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21?
- +$4.80at 0.520Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5
- +$3.41at 0.676England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.7199999952 | $6.00 |
| 10-18 07:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 07:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $8.00 |
| 07-15 20:25 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2574999459 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 20:24 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6649999862 | $7.00 |
| 06-17 08:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.76 | $21.47 |
| 05-20 08:39 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.2399999424 | $2.50 |
| 05-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.2899999383 | $3.10 |
| 05-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.50 |
| 03-26 11:46 | Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 03-10 14:28 | Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 14:27 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10? | BUY | 0.9879999974 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 14:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.00 |