PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0xb63597fede097391d73e6119bb457e5276f12506

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$300.8k
Markets traded
1,343
Open portfolio
$614.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,343
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1? · No0.9550.999$312.93+$13.91
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1? · Yes0.9530.994$104.86+$4.36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1? · No0.9800.993$104.00+$1.31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? · Yes0.9700.993$66.36+$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1? · No0.9780.975$24.36−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1? · No0.9450.998$2.00+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00−$61.10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 30? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$8.70
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 26? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00−$21.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:22Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?SELL0.999$172.83
10-01 08:07Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.979$9.79
10-01 08:04Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.979$4.89
10-01 08:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.977$9.77
10-01 07:18Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.97$22.31
10-01 07:18Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.97$48.50
10-01 06:46Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.96$16.80
10-01 06:39Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.96$48.00
10-01 06:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.95$24.70
10-01 06:37Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.9485282051$36.99
10-01 06:12Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.976$19.23
10-01 06:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.95$9.50
10-01 06:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1?BUY0.75$26.25
10-01 05:39Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.94505$1.89
10-01 05:32Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on October 1?BUY0.9499$5.70