PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Scroogie

0xb634676d70b2de5c2cee7adad8b88442f536eefa

Realised P&L
$-581.88
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$74.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.895$59.23+$14.23
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3300.125$9.47$15.53
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2700.087$3.24$6.76
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1320.022$1.71$8.29
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3320.013$0.81$19.08
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.004$0.23$9.77
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 10? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$24.00
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on February 10? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$41.50
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$281.92
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-10 09:23Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on February 10?BUY0.83$41.50
02-10 09:23Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on February 10?BUY0.48$24.00
02-09 11:24US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
12-01 12:10Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1315558565$10.00
12-01 12:10Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.3315149236$19.89
12-01 12:10Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
12-01 12:10Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
12-01 12:08Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.3299999945$25.00
12-01 11:53Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.2259999992$200.00
12-01 11:29Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.226999966$3.97
12-01 08:53Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.2239999972$50.00
12-01 08:51Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.224$22.40
12-01 08:45Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.222$5.55
12-01 07:46Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberBUY0.5299999883$20.00
11-06 09:55Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799999964$45.00