Velvety-Satisfaction
0xb63000628fd2e76db981f5dc09da129bbfdd3eb9
- Realised P&L
- $-126.88
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $52.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $52.68 | −$94.82 |
| Will the Hawks win the 2021 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.41 |
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? · No | 0.623 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.86 |
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Falcons vs. 49ers · Falcons | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.32at 0.706Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday?
- +$17.38at 0.223Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1?
- +$4.74at 0.501Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021?
- +$4.17at 0.915Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6?
- +$2.88at 0.964Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 22:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6389999969 | $47.41 |
| 06-03 22:19 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $45.00 |
| 11-06 23:33 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4699999871 | $13.82 |
| 10-20 00:23 | Falcons vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 00:22 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $22.50 |
| 10-07 19:29 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $200.00 |
| 10-07 02:55 | Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? | BUY | 0.7059930963 | $140.00 |