PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Velvety-Satisfaction

0xb63000628fd2e76db981f5dc09da129bbfdd3eb9

Realised P&L
$-126.88
Volume
$36.8k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$52.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$52.68−$94.82
Will the Hawks win the 2021 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.6390.000$0.00−$47.41
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? · No0.6230.000$0.00−$62.86
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Falcons vs. 49ers · Falcons0.5300.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 22:22Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6389999969$47.41
06-03 22:19Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$45.00
11-06 23:33Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.4699999871$13.82
10-20 00:23Falcons vs. 49ersBUY0.5299999986$50.00
10-20 00:22Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$22.50
10-07 19:29Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$200.00
10-07 02:55Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? BUY0.7059930963$140.00