PhantomRonin
0xb6279acc862a752e74a156e23f118127f823d968
- Realised P&L
- $-918.51
- Volume
- $149.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,697
- Open portfolio
- $183.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,697
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$291.76at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$177.78at 0.082Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$108.85at 0.279Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
- +$85.45at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?
- +$83.69at 0.152Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.95 | $2.05 |
| 09-28 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.32 |
| 09-28 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.53 |
| 09-28 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.98 |
| 09-28 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.29 |
| 09-28 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.23 |
| 09-28 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.05 |
| 09-28 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.12 |
| 09-28 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.02 |
| 09-28 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.77 |
| 09-28 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.19 |
| 09-28 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.24 |
| 09-28 11:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.48 |
| 09-28 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.55 |
| 09-28 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.35 |