0xb623e01ec05d9cd3f3e8300587c24c71339de284
0xb623e01ec05d9cd3f3e8300587c24c71339de284
- Realised P&L
- $-88.33
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $7.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.300 | $2.09 | −$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 19? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 16? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.03 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.060 | $0.89 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.015 | $0.25 | −$0.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.66at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$3.14at 0.928Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?
- +$2.78at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$2.30at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 3?
- +$0.35at 0.957Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0699999993 | $1.04 |
| 10-01 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3099999854 | $1.06 |
| 10-01 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0599999977 | $1.04 |
| 10-01 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2999999434 | $1.06 |
| 09-25 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.73 |
| 09-25 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.74 |
| 09-09 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.09 |
| 09-09 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.9809999955 | $1.09 |
| 09-05 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? | SELL | 0.986 | $2.41 |
| 09-05 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.09 |
| 09-05 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.36 |
| 09-05 20:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.09 |
| 09-05 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 5? | SELL | 0.986 | $1.07 |
| 09-05 19:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9959995468 | $1.09 |
| 09-05 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.09 |