Stefan111198
0xb6213dcfb03813a711bc6b2013a2f34ffb759e4e
- Realised P&L
- $-190.01
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $23.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.14at 0.412Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?
- +$32.19at 0.462Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$23.36at 0.522Ghana vs. Gambia: O/U 2.5
- +$22.48at 0.532Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?
- +$17.16at 0.482Cuba vs. Bonaire: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:44 | Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 20:37 | Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.35 |
| 10-02 20:10 | Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5399999833 | $11.00 |
| 10-02 20:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $11.34 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.0304633243 | $10.12 |
| 10-02 16:11 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4799999995 | $159.41 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $23.16 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.36 | $24.32 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.39 | $25.65 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.4477525984 | $26.28 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $59.94 |
| 10-02 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-02 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $30.78 |