PolyBot

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Traders

Stefan111198

0xb6213dcfb03813a711bc6b2013a2f34ffb759e4e

Realised P&L
$-190.01
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$23.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.5000.585$23.40+$3.40
Will Algeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$25.00
Suriname vs. Martinique: Both Teams to Score · No0.5300.000$0.00−$27.00
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · No0.0480.000$0.00−$24.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$27.00
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$25.00
St. Lucia vs. Bermuda: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6600.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$25.00
Armenia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5900.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$15.00
Chargers vs. Bills · Chargers0.4800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:44Will Honduras win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$20.00
10-02 20:37Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw?SELL0.999$20.35
10-02 20:10Will Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia end in a draw?BUY0.5399999833$11.00
10-02 20:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSELL0.93$11.34
10-02 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-02 20:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETBUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-02 20:00Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.0304633243$10.12
10-02 16:11Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.4799999995$159.41
10-02 16:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.44$23.16
10-02 16:10Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?SELL0.36$24.32
10-02 16:10Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.39$25.65
10-02 16:10Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.4477525984$26.28
10-02 16:10Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.64$59.94
10-02 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.5099999984$25.00
10-02 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL0.98$30.78