jk6889
0xb619f0c05b9ab19fca47ca84181dc9efd69bb8de
- Realised P&L
- $-214.98
- Volume
- $61.9k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $122.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21? · Up | 0.690 | 0.984 | $122.94 | +$36.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.50at 0.568S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?
- +$167.25at 0.574S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?
- +$162.26at 0.609S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?
- +$150.81at 0.576S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?
- +$145.79at 0.661S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? | SELL | 0.993 | $109.23 |
| 09-18 03:29 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.59 | $76.70 |
| 09-15 04:23 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.6 | $66.00 |
| 09-13 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.66 | $59.40 |
| 09-11 13:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-11 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.24 | $96.00 |
| 09-11 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.69 | $276.00 |
| 09-11 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.73 |
| 09-11 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.35 | $42.82 |
| 09-11 11:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.36 | $27.54 |
| 09-11 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $35.50 |
| 09-09 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | SELL | 0.59 | $70.80 |
| 09-09 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-08 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | SELL | 0.7986744575 | $114.47 |
| 09-08 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.6 | $54.00 |