moo-
0xb5fddcd0781fa115f9cd8259645ad687624cb476
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $14.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) · Pelicans | 0.500 | 0.475 | $14.25 | −$0.75 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Chicago Cubs | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox · Yes | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.488 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Sabres vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.518 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Raptors | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: Commanders (-7.5) · Eagles | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.18at 0.461Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$222.36at 0.612Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$150.88at 0.570Utah vs. Kraken
- +$139.79at 0.518Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline
- +$133.90at 0.565Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:10 | Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 01:27 | Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 23:49 | Spread: Commanders (-7.5) | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 21:13 | Spread: Pacers (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:17 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |
| 05-01 02:25 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 04-25 21:03 | Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.4799999992 | $121.10 |
| 04-25 21:02 | Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4699999994 | $121.03 |
| 04-25 15:54 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5409836065 | $116.70 |
| 04-25 15:46 | Sabres vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.509999999 | $103.85 |
| 04-25 03:46 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $121.70 |
| 04-25 03:29 | Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $48.44 |
| 04-25 03:19 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $145.86 |
| 04-25 00:36 | Lightning vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $97.12 |
| 04-24 22:44 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $121.48 |