gg69
0xb5f6af45e02a3406c9d0763276f0d95aa56dc41a
- Realised P&L
- $-483.01
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $7.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $7.10 | −$4.86 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.13 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.82 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.81 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.30at 0.432Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$34.89at 0.011Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$3.20at 0.080Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$-42.42at 0.576Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 20:30 | Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0045768922 | $13.00 |
| 06-24 20:24 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0019257965 | $0.55 |
| 06-24 10:23 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.6579805619 | $74.47 |
| 06-24 08:22 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.541 | $61.22 |
| 06-23 17:15 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.013 | $2.60 |
| 06-23 17:14 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 06-23 17:12 | Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.12 |
| 06-23 08:17 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.338 | $3.72 |
| 06-22 20:03 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.549 | $18.40 |
| 06-22 19:09 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.4147727181 | $102.65 |
| 06-22 18:30 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5512464286 | $77.17 |
| 06-22 18:27 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5865997 | $58.66 |
| 06-22 18:26 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.588 | $4.40 |
| 04-10 20:48 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3 | $102.13 |
| 11-17 07:59 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.3273020575 | $50.00 |