MoBeck
0xb5f3ce5ad055e68fded88d435be6c0a0680f01ea
- Realised P&L
- $-58.34
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $27.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.984 | $7.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.909 | $5.79 | +$3.79 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.520 | 0.950 | $5.48 | +$2.48 |
| Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Il Lombardia? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.655 | $4.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.445 | $2.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.065 | $0.90 | −$4.10 |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.165 | $0.69 | −$1.31 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.105 | $0.31 | −$1.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.08at 0.500Will Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?
- +$8.60at 0.500Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
- +$5.48at 0.650Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.40at 0.652Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$5.25at 0.160Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:08 | Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Il Lombardia? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 08:07 | Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6949999736 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909998954 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 10:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.7474999856 | $7.00 |
| 07-02 10:40 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 19:09 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 17:26 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 07:36 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 07:35 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 21:02 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 21:02 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 21:02 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 21:02 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 15:50 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |