0xB5F29c0C24679445B3A766198B6cd8Bb15A1745e-1779224393636
0xb5f29c0c24679445b3a766198b6cd8bb15a1745e
- Realised P&L
- $26.61
- Volume
- $491.90
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $18.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.030 | $10.40 | −$69.60 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.195 | $7.95 | −$7.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.24at 0.577Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$7.41at 0.577Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry
- +$7.12at 0.587Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
- +$-10.17at 0.447Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 23:42 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3680371266 | $15.00 |
| 05-25 23:41 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 21:11 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5699999831 | $30.00 |
| 05-19 21:08 | Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 21:08 | Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 21:02 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.2346041056 | $80.00 |