tony47395634
0xb5e89470e80e56a0b699b3c9b7d739b1b9d631a1
- Realised P&L
- $-440.85
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $75.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.33at 0.785France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$43.00at 0.567Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$24.84at 0.447Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
- +$20.70at 0.930Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire
- +$17.65at 0.758Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:07 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 11-01 22:46 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.266 | $2.66 |
| 11-01 22:44 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.102 | $5.10 |
| 11-01 22:42 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 11-01 22:40 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 22:39 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 11-01 22:38 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 22:37 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 22:36 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 10-31 16:12 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.80 |
| 10-31 16:12 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 10-31 02:42 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-31 02:40 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 02:37 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |