crackenthusiast
0xb5e25c4d781854ea4ac0f3c4b55f81b5991ee599
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.088Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.9kat 0.479US kicks trans members out of military before July?
- +$1.9kat 0.406Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$1.8kat 0.753Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
- +$1.4kat 0.7301,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:41 | Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.257968 | $38.70 |
| 09-17 15:32 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.25 |
| 09-06 19:22 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.4506666778 | $540.79 |
| 09-04 16:42 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0398492371 | $75.00 |
| 09-04 15:41 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276255865 | $8.83 |
| 09-04 15:34 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.037688 | $37.69 |
| 09-03 20:38 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0911 | $45.55 |
| 09-03 20:37 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.6996466431 | $198.00 |
| 09-02 22:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 09-01 01:21 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 08-14 17:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.78 | $312.00 |
| 08-12 14:36 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.822 | $189.06 |
| 08-12 14:36 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.821 | $57.63 |
| 08-12 00:56 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 08-11 23:44 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |