PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

crackenthusiast

0xb5e25c4d781854ea4ac0f3c4b55f81b5991ee599

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
480
Open portfolio
$9.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded480
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8220.815$1.1k$9.68
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.5230.695$1.0k+$252.09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.962$769.59+$193.60
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.4040.885$766.17+$416.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3250.335$670.00+$20.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.945$567.00+$51.00
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.4920.870$565.92+$245.92
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6070.860$516.00+$151.51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.7200.842$504.90+$72.62
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.7590.855$478.48+$53.71
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? · No0.6820.925$463.72+$121.90
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.055$417.01$156.28
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · No0.6820.835$303.91+$55.71
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7500.825$247.50+$22.50
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.5600.955$205.32+$84.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:41Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.257968$38.70
09-17 15:32US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.14$9.25
09-06 19:22Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.4506666778$540.79
09-04 16:42Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0398492371$75.00
09-04 15:41Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0276255865$8.83
09-04 15:34Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.037688$37.69
09-03 20:38Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0911$45.55
09-03 20:37OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.6996466431$198.00
09-02 22:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.75$225.00
09-01 01:21Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.66$132.00
08-14 17:05Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.78$312.00
08-12 14:36Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.822$189.06
08-12 14:36Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.821$57.63
08-12 00:56Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.85$255.00
08-11 23:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.85$255.00