0xB5E2213fD3AeA9202D98dd34A05130F6a077fc6E-1779723772545
0xb5e2213fd3aea9202d98dd34a05130f6a077fc6e
- Realised P&L
- $-12.51
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $34.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.543 | $13.61 | +$3.61 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.976 | $10.60 | +$0.60 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.105 | $10.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.91at 0.331Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$19.97at 0.341France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$-12.15at 0.052Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:00 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3989999862 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 18:51 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 17:20 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 20:37 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 22:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 22:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1749999932 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 16:28 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0449999979 | $20.00 |
| 06-10 13:15 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 14:41 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.325 | $70.81 |
| 05-26 11:25 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2889999908 | $20.00 |
| 05-25 22:58 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2594642581 | $38.58 |