PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Michaeldfb

0xb5dce81e74cc93c9cca9e887569762b294cbbc46

Realised P&L
$9.56
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$27.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Team Liquid0.7300.725$27.55−$0.19
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A · HEROIC Academy0.2200.000$0.00−$10.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$5.28
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$26.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 12:17LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.73$27.74
09-15 11:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.002$0.09
09-15 11:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.997$44.87
09-15 11:58Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.24$5.28
08-25 03:03Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?BUY0.66$13.20
08-17 07:58Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?BUY0.69$36.22
07-30 07:51Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?SELL0.997$36.96
07-30 07:51Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?BUY0.49$26.46
07-30 07:50Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?BUY0.998$15.00
07-30 07:49Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?BUY0.998$22.00
07-20 02:47LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageBUY0.67$21.44
07-01 05:48Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.56$17.92
06-15 12:18Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.71$27.83
06-03 03:10Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$34.93
06-03 03:09Will Solana dip to $30 June 1-7?BUY0.999$17.00