Michaeldfb
0xb5dce81e74cc93c9cca9e887569762b294cbbc46
- Realised P&L
- $9.56
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $27.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Team Liquid | 0.730 | 0.725 | $27.55 | −$0.19 |
| Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A · HEROIC Academy | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.85 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.28 |
| Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$403.38at 0.500Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$83.64at 0.500Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$24.90at 0.500Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$22.36at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$17.43at 0.500Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:17 | LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.73 | $27.74 |
| 09-15 11:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 09-15 11:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $44.87 |
| 09-15 11:58 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.28 |
| 08-25 03:03 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-17 07:58 | Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.69 | $36.22 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | SELL | 0.997 | $36.96 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | BUY | 0.49 | $26.46 |
| 07-30 07:50 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 07-30 07:49 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 07-20 02:47 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.67 | $21.44 |
| 07-01 05:48 | Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.56 | $17.92 |
| 06-15 12:18 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.71 | $27.83 |
| 06-03 03:10 | Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.93 |
| 06-03 03:09 | Will Solana dip to $30 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |