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Traders

Fate--Caster

0xb5d13be0954e21fbb9c990bb3cde62d41f2e505e

Realised P&L
$95.37
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$47.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?BUY0.058$1.08
11-01 17:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?BUY0.35$2.80
11-01 17:23Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.013$0.36
11-01 17:21Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.002$0.42
11-01 17:12Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on November 2?BUY0.002$0.02
11-01 17:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2?BUY0.77$3.85
11-01 16:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.25$1.00
11-01 14:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.02
11-01 12:27Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 1?SELL0.92$4.60
11-01 09:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?BUY0.018$0.15
11-01 08:59Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 1?BUY0.015$0.15
11-01 08:57Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 1?BUY0.001$0.76
11-01 08:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 1?SELL0.002$0.34
11-01 08:47Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 1?BUY0.001$0.34
11-01 08:46Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.041$0.82
Trader Fate--Caster · PolyBot Pro