PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1cF5E5B16dF7F2b214786ca7d70686F84B77d52a-1774017685968

0xb5ce69a21908fb238838c636f6246b628536a737

Realised P&L
$-41.44
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$115.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.915$107.97+$31.27
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? · No0.2000.110$7.70−$6.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$5.96
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes0.2150.000$0.00−$4.30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4200.000$0.00−$3.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:52Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?BUY0.2$10.00
10-31 17:34Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.33$4.03
10-28 13:24Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.65$76.70
10-15 16:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.449999964$5.00
10-15 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-15 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-15 16:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.8399999933$5.00
10-15 16:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-15 16:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-14 13:02Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9$18.90
10-14 13:02Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.89$8.10
10-01 07:54Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.5100454545$5.61
10-01 05:48Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.4$4.40
09-29 16:25Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.992$18.85
09-29 16:19Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00