PolyBot

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Traders

carisepatumurah1994

0xb5cd560cea8a1c3a6cf41020f172fa332de7e2ef

Realised P&L
$-685.77
Volume
$142.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$89.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1040.029$41.17$108.83
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1270.046$36.49$63.51
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1100.027$12.27$37.73
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$50.00
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$150.00
Another US military action against Iran before 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025? · Yes0.2390.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$64.04
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$100.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00$50.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 20:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1959999972$45.76
06-29 20:58Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$48.08
06-29 02:27Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1029999987$64.04
06-29 02:26Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.051999999$50.00
06-29 02:22Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0139999999$100.00
04-28 23:03Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.3299999978$100.00
04-28 21:57Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.32$126.06
04-28 21:38Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.3299999991$130.00
03-15 11:13ICE shooter charged by March 31?SELL0.0252789527$3.72
02-28 22:45Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?SELL0.0278853275$23.24
02-07 02:27US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
02-07 02:27US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.1$50.00
02-07 02:26US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?BUY0.013$50.00
01-14 03:24Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?BUY0.0368624542$50.00
01-14 03:19Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?BUY0.1525998241$50.00