carisepatumurah1994
0xb5cd560cea8a1c3a6cf41020f172fa332de7e2ef
- Realised P&L
- $-685.77
- Volume
- $142.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $89.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.00at 0.160Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
- +$462.20at 0.098Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?
- +$375.00at 0.400Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$309.79at 0.244Will Trump praise Marjorie Taylor Greene by December 31?
- +$287.50at 0.373Trump ends taxes on tips before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 20:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1959999972 | $45.76 |
| 06-29 20:58 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $48.08 |
| 06-29 02:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999987 | $64.04 |
| 06-29 02:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 02:22 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 23:03 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 04-28 21:57 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.32 | $126.06 |
| 04-28 21:38 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3299999991 | $130.00 |
| 03-15 11:13 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.0252789527 | $3.72 |
| 02-28 22:45 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.0278853275 | $23.24 |
| 02-07 02:27 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 02-07 02:27 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 02-07 02:26 | US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 03:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | BUY | 0.0368624542 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 03:19 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | BUY | 0.1525998241 | $50.00 |