tylerpredict
0xb5c7c7caa4bb3e609f163a52306d0a90abaaf2c1
- Realised P&L
- $39.64
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.40at 0.932Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$30.40at 0.904Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$22.32at 0.404Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?
- +$11.39at 0.834Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.30at 0.122Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:54 | QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999996 | $80.30 |
| 09-17 04:51 | Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.8951893957 | $93.34 |
| 09-16 13:53 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $32.09 |
| 09-16 07:56 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $7.36 |
| 09-16 07:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election? | SELL | 0.53769 | $96.78 |
| 09-15 23:58 | Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | SELL | 0.095 | $0.57 |
| 09-15 23:38 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2019724201 | $11.02 |
| 09-15 18:31 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.14 |
| 09-15 18:30 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $30.10 |
| 09-15 18:22 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 13:22 | Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.2 | $7.60 |
| 09-15 00:10 | Will Nik Bonitto win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.92 | $157.32 |
| 09-14 23:36 | Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.8992721715 | $284.19 |
| 09-14 23:33 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.6351703016 | $17.23 |
| 09-14 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |