PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aina458

0xb5be02d244681acf494bae0322e44e883c670e30

Realised P&L
$539.20
Volume
$478.2k
Markets traded
5,516
Open portfolio
$5.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,516
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 19? · Yes0.0010.004$1.87+$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.0010.003$1.02+$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.0010.003$0.92+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.0010.003$0.75+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.0020.005$0.50+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.0020.004$0.25+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 18? · Yes0.0010.001$0.15$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.0010.001$0.15$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.0020.001$0.05$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 16? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:26Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 19?BUY0.001$0.42
09-18 12:38Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.001$0.55
09-18 12:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.001010001$0.50
09-18 12:36Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.002$0.01
09-18 10:35Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?SELL0.0252$1.26
09-18 06:28Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.001$0.17
09-18 04:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 18?BUY0.001$0.11
09-18 01:52Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.002$0.10
09-17 10:25Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.002$0.28
09-17 09:47Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 17?SELL0.001$0.30
09-17 09:46Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.1153902686$4.55
09-17 00:30Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 16?SELL0.001$0.10
09-16 23:36Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.001$0.32
09-16 15:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 16?SELL0.001$0.10
09-16 15:17Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 16?SELL0.001$0.10