aina458
0xb5be02d244681acf494bae0322e44e883c670e30
- Realised P&L
- $452.35
- Volume
- $391.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,878
- Open portfolio
- $5.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,878
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.82at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
- +$31.13at 0.004Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?
- +$21.46at 0.012Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?
- +$19.20at 0.010Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26?
- +$17.37at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 21:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 08-04 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.71 |
| 08-04 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 39°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 08-03 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-03 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-02 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.016 | $2.16 |
| 08-02 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.016 | $2.64 |
| 08-02 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 106-107°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.00794945 | $7.95 |
| 08-01 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 106-107°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 106-107°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 106-107°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.11 |