PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Astera

0xb5b8eb95db0c651af2b83fb804cc0b700ce5f0cb

Realised P&L
$58.6k
Volume
$3.90M
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$34.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9110.915$16.0k+$69.99
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7290.785$9.9k+$702.70
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes0.9520.954$8.4k+$15.40
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes0.7090.675$377.28−$18.92
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9110.905$65.90−$0.42
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? · Yes0.7400.650$33.71−$4.67
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3600.335$4.79−$0.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$40.90
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$405.60
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$327.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 00:16US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.951$50.00
10-11 00:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.954$9.79
10-10 21:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9529999485$1.00
10-10 20:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.952$120.48
10-10 20:35US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9522528278$8.2k
10-10 01:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9$56.29
10-09 21:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.9$1.6k
10-09 21:32US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?SELL0.72$1.6k
10-09 04:57US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.73$1.4k
10-09 01:14Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.9$13.8k
10-08 04:27Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$5.10
10-07 18:58Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$9.21
10-07 18:57Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$14.1k
10-07 18:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.75$5.0k
10-07 03:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.72$6.4k