PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

23424re

0xb5b7e8469858ba6c26b4085d5ef777a0490bbc4c

Realised P&L
$-105.90
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$0.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13? · Yes0.5000.013$0.38−$13.53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$17.00
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$21.00
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 9? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$14.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 02:23Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5BUY0.91$4.62
08-15 08:03Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 16?BUY0.998$2.5k
07-07 14:16Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.945$9.85
07-02 13:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 3?BUY0.988$8.62
06-23 13:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24?BUY0.99$15.15
06-15 04:54Spread: Senegal (-2.5)BUY0.995$9.95
06-11 01:38Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12?BUY0.967$10.64
05-25 11:02S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26?BUY0.96$17.18
05-20 00:58Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.95$10.30
05-13 01:05Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026?BUY0.974$11.68
05-08 01:46Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 8?BUY0.95$6.65
04-23 05:14Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 24?BUY0.998$10.48
04-15 07:24Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY0.03$132.00
04-15 07:18Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY0.995$4.4k