23424re
0xb5b7e8469858ba6c26b4085d5ef777a0490bbc4c
- Realised P&L
- $-105.90
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $0.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.013 | $0.38 | −$13.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.30 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 9? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.030Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$15.30at 0.500Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026?
- +$13.60at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 9?
- +$13.53at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13?
- +$13.25at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:23 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $4.62 |
| 08-15 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 07-07 14:16 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $9.85 |
| 07-02 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 3? | BUY | 0.988 | $8.62 |
| 06-23 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.15 |
| 06-15 04:54 | Spread: Senegal (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 06-11 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? | BUY | 0.967 | $10.64 |
| 05-25 11:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $17.18 |
| 05-20 00:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.30 |
| 05-13 01:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 11 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $11.68 |
| 05-08 01:46 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $285 on May 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 04-23 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.48 |
| 04-15 07:24 | Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.03 | $132.00 |
| 04-15 07:18 | Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.4k |