0xb5b69eac06f78df322e9283eef1a58f1a9043bf5
0xb5b69eac06f78df322e9283eef1a58f1a9043bf5
- Realised P&L
- $-150.47
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.265 | $8.1k | −$1.1k |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.275 | $5.1k | +$42.41 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.215 | $1.7k | −$316.80 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.185 | $79.63 | −$19.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-52.91at 0.755Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
- +$-65.16at 0.177Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$-70.42at 0.373Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:39 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $903.59 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $958.95 |
| 11-01 18:39 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $972.09 |
| 11-01 18:38 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $963.39 |
| 11-01 18:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $481.32 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $481.32 |
| 11-01 18:31 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.9k |
| 11-01 18:30 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $962.27 |
| 11-01 18:29 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $481.32 |
| 10-31 17:21 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $495.04 |
| 10-31 17:20 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2721428486 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.0k |
| 10-29 17:33 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $247.35 |
| 10-24 06:38 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $63.82 |
| 10-24 06:38 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $65.09 |