hgawx
0xb5b60d821300cef591b7c2a7647fd38e5ecaca29
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $1.20M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $8.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) · Celtics | 0.460 | 1.000 | $8.3k | +$4.5k |
| Spread: Pacers (-1.5) · Pacers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.2k |
| Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-18.5) · Minnesota Lynx | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
| Spread: Wizards (-3.5) · Wizards | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 154.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) · Knicks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-14.5) · Golden State Valkyries | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.1k |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) · Nuggets | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.7k |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-12.5) · Atlanta Dream | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.2k |
| Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 178.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5) · Chicago Sky | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) · Lakers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.0kat 0.440France vs. England: O/U 3.5
- +$21.6kat 0.390Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$19.1kat 0.585Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
- +$15.2kat 0.549Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$14.7kat 0.603Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:56 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | SELL | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 11-01 19:55 | Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | SELL | 0.45 | $31.50 |
| 10-31 23:33 | Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $3.5k |
| 10-31 15:20 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $77.01 |
| 10-30 15:11 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.47 | $1.6k |
| 10-30 12:17 | Spread: Lakers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.1k |
| 10-30 11:41 | Spread: Pistons (-7.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $4.9k |
| 10-29 23:32 | Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) | SELL | 0.46 | $16.01 |
| 10-29 23:27 | Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $3.8k |
| 10-28 14:28 | Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | SELL | 0.47 | $6.49 |
| 10-27 23:36 | Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-27 23:32 | Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $4.5k |
| 10-27 16:00 | Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $4.7k |
| 10-26 16:22 | Spread: Jazz (-1.5) | SELL | 0.5 | $3.50 |
| 10-26 16:17 | Spread: Jazz (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $914.21 |