bob8-8
0xb5aec62aaf2b4aa764b3bce4625056ab9479b4e8
- Realised P&L
- $90.98
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,056
- Open portfolio
- $60.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,056
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12? · No | 0.946 | 0.991 | $20.94 | +$0.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13? · No | 0.960 | 0.955 | $19.89 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 13? · No | 0.950 | 0.925 | $19.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 30? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.99 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 17? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 16? · No | 0.958 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.34at 0.875Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 27?
- +$3.83at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 12?
- +$2.92at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14?
- +$2.54at 0.518Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?
- +$2.50at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9455269631 | $19.99 |
| 10-12 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on October 12? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.79 |
| 10-12 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-11 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.69 |
| 10-10 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.79 |
| 10-10 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.9970809775 | $20.81 |
| 10-10 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 10-10 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.59 |
| 10-10 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.947 | $19.99 |
| 10-09 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.99 |
| 10-09 21:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.25 |
| 10-09 19:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-09 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.958 | $10.54 |