0xb5ab876dd56106122ed4fa165eb744a6a51503a9
0xb5ab876dd56106122ed4fa165eb744a6a51503a9
- Realised P&L
- $3.00
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $13.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.39at 0.352 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
- +$10.12at 0.547US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$8.36at 0.271Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$5.96at 0.311US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$4.71at 0.372Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 00:43 | Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.18 |
| 10-25 11:18 | Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.10 |
| 10-18 06:31 | Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.04 |
| 10-18 06:28 | Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.04 |
| 10-14 16:11 | Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 02:22 | Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.01 |
| 09-20 00:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-18 13:05 | Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.00 |
| 09-17 13:43 | Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 11:57 | Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.03 |
| 09-12 17:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 01:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.34 |
| 09-12 01:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.51 |
| 09-12 00:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.01 |
| 09-11 21:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.82 |