nicknicknick54315432
0xb5a32bb8d15c7a3c6db1688513909171101dce21
- Realised P&L
- $328.84
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $100.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.185 | $100.39 | −$19.84 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.26at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$90.94at 0.623Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
- +$24.47at 0.380Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
- +$-60.00at 0.620Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 19:06 | Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | BUY | 0.6199999996 | $60.00 |
| 03-26 19:00 | Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k? | BUY | 0.6225640557 | $150.00 |
| 02-28 14:05 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2215599701 | $120.23 |
| 02-22 10:45 | US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999986 | $126.96 |
| 09-18 13:42 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $15.00 |
| 06-01 22:03 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |