leowei2025
0xb59d92819c5bc28beba13e7ccff906732fa759e1
- Realised P&L
- $120.57
- Volume
- $295.0k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $2.0k | +$19.88 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? · No | 0.969 | 1.000 | $103.15 | +$3.15 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.907 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.63at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.08at 0.959Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$54.87at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?
- +$33.64at 0.974Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 20?
- +$31.92at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 01:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9689999944 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9896659767 | $2.0k |
| 10-16 02:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.9932039612 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.9925723104 | $1000.00 |
| 10-15 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9953539134 | $2.0k |
| 10-14 03:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.9723319785 | $1000.00 |
| 10-14 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.9899664797 | $1000.00 |
| 10-13 01:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9966908514 | $2.0k |
| 10-09 00:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9940294891 | $1000.00 |
| 10-09 00:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9897749746 | $1000.00 |
| 10-08 01:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9921527398 | $2.0k |
| 10-07 04:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9885409655 | $900.00 |
| 10-07 02:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.8629592722 | $876.99 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9934851399 | $1.1k |
| 10-07 01:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $1000.00 |