PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb599cFF217231CA9E364271ac6e6be7c3077D428-1758624519969

0xb599cff217231ca9e364271ac6e6be7c3077d428

Realised P&L
$-790.74
Volume
$48.6k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5020.443$13.8k−$1.8k
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$6.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3929999619$5.00
07-15 20:30Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0849999286$1.00
07-15 20:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0949999211$1.00
07-07 15:53Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.2$2.00
07-07 15:53Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.08$1.00
07-04 16:29Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-04 16:25Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
07-04 16:25Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$1.00
07-04 16:24Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-04 16:24Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-02 17:31Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.1674998677$1.00
07-02 17:31Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
07-01 17:59Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.98$7.16
07-01 17:54Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.059999946$1.00
07-01 17:41Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.059999946$1.00