0xb599cFF217231CA9E364271ac6e6be7c3077D428-1758624519969
0xb599cff217231ca9e364271ac6e6be7c3077d428
- Realised P&L
- $-790.74
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.88at 0.489Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$47.37at 0.760Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?
- +$37.98at 0.345Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$30.84at 0.305Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$24.81at 0.511US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3929999619 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 20:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0849999286 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 15:53 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 15:53 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:29 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:25 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:25 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:24 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 16:24 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 17:31 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1674998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 17:31 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:59 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.16 |
| 07-01 17:54 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:41 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |