Swerdi
0xb5984631544a83538d53e2d0d0ba6004f10c6a1e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.57
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.955 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.555 | $0.61 | −$0.44 |
| Will Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.934 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.35at 0.590Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
- +$2.45at 0.620Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?
- +$1.19at 0.998Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.70at 0.860Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?
- +$0.49at 0.920Will Ohio State beat Iowa?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 06:22 | Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:22 | Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.16 |
| 07-29 06:22 | Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:22 | Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 06:20 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $68.99 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.00 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $68.86 |
| 07-27 07:55 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.00 |
| 06-10 06:23 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 06-08 07:50 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 06-08 07:50 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 06-08 07:50 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 11:10 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $499.50 |
| 05-10 11:10 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.89 |
| 05-08 12:12 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $100.00 |