PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

China-Eastern

0xb58d7a157c4491f464d6a1f0abecaa1d512d7336

Realised P&L
$107.39
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3800.385$523.09+$6.72
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8450.680$474.12−$114.98
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8600.865$291.75+$1.69
Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1110.217$56.64+$27.77
Will Labor win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · No0.9300.946$33.09+$0.54
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · No0.4150.770$22.41+$10.34
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? · Yes0.3630.275$12.34−$3.94
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1300.135$11.85+$0.44
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0950.120$8.50+$1.77
Will Tommie Ekered be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? · No0.9170.948$7.81+$0.25
Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes0.1300.763$7.34+$6.09
Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election? · Yes0.5900.190$4.94−$10.40
Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · No0.8400.968$4.84+$0.64
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1050.165$4.35+$1.58
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? · Yes0.2000.840$4.22+$3.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 12:24Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.13$10.17
09-17 22:39Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?BUY0.59$7.67
09-17 22:39Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?BUY0.59$7.67
09-08 17:42Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6$16.80
09-08 10:33Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.52$17.55
09-08 10:28Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.11$2.42
09-07 22:18Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$4.70
09-07 22:18Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$4.70
09-02 20:00Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.91$6.37
09-02 18:58Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.92$4.60
09-02 16:44Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.13$33.98
09-02 16:44Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.12$3.94
09-01 13:50Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.89$4.45
08-30 16:00Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.1$4.00
08-30 13:12Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?SELL0.09$1.50