Valuute
0xb58bd20e903b8eebf567728b2f5402f2810f71fa
- Realised P&L
- $-30.78
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $41.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $41.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.80at 0.500Counter-Strike: fnatic vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
- +$1.20at 0.991Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$1.12at 0.985Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.77at 0.972Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$0.64at 0.983Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.96 |
| 08-27 14:31 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-27 07:59 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.22 |
| 07-17 14:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $48.95 |
| 06-28 03:20 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.88 |
| 06-17 06:37 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.86 |
| 05-10 03:20 | Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $75.62 |
| 04-17 02:42 | Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $36.96 |
| 03-16 15:28 | Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $57.91 |
| 03-16 15:23 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $0.83 |
| 02-23 11:27 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of February? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 02-10 08:48 | Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.996 | $57.77 |
| 01-21 01:47 | Will there be at least 175 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $46.86 |
| 12-26 01:25 | Will StandX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999815 | $27.11 |
| 12-03 10:01 | Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30? | BUY | 0.9809018832 | $26.60 |