mentalista
0xb586ea8d45e3e831a188e48c75344c7ffdf880ef
- Realised P&L
- $-140.97
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $481.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs · Galorys | 0.557 | 0.565 | $381.12 | +$5.12 |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Zetta Games - Map 2 Winner · MIBR fe | 0.500 | 0.500 | $100.00 | +$0.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner · Keyd | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.00 |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Voca - Map 2 Winner · Voca | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Voca - Map 1 Winner · BESTIA | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.08 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NRG - Map 2 Winner · NRG | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.75 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$457.19at 0.396Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
- +$174.83at 0.488Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
- +$152.04at 0.626Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 3 Winner
- +$111.26at 0.303Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?
- +$66.45at 0.580Counter-Strike: magic vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:54 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $210.00 |
| 09-28 17:53 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $406.88 |
| 09-28 17:31 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.613801586 | $250.00 |
| 09-28 17:05 | Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs Zetta Games - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 16:50 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $660.20 |
| 09-28 16:18 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5389818916 | $194.50 |
| 09-28 15:54 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 14:43 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $79.31 |
| 09-28 13:45 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5422581215 | $166.00 |
| 09-26 00:09 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2510900667 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 00:05 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $70.36 |
| 09-25 23:27 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4071606613 | $28.68 |
| 09-25 21:47 | Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Voca - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0276529554 | $18.00 |
| 09-25 21:21 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Voca (+6.5) | BUY | 0.1852139707 | $59.00 |
| 09-25 21:20 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Voca (+6.5) | BUY | 0.0797834449 | $14.00 |