Redde
0xb581a12ca5cf3a75df45fa18b89d349699785ff5
- Realised P&L
- $-76.38
- Volume
- $34.5k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $23.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $23.78 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$412.60at 0.500Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 18?
- +$300.00at 0.500Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?
- +$200.00at 0.500Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
- +$50.00at 0.500Will Trump say "insane asylum" during Michigan rally on October 18?
- +$25.00at 0.500Will Trump say "weave" during Michigan rally on October 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $24.00 |
| 09-23 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.869 | $4.43 |
| 09-22 07:12 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.879 | $4.48 |
| 08-24 16:57 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $5.04 |
| 08-24 16:56 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-24 16:55 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.92 |
| 08-24 16:54 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 08-20 16:53 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.94 |
| 08-20 16:52 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.91 |
| 08-20 16:50 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 16:50 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.69 |
| 07-28 14:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | SELL | 0.9971470588 | $5.09 |
| 07-28 14:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 07-28 14:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 07-28 14:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.447 | $2.28 |