PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Redde

0xb581a12ca5cf3a75df45fa18b89d349699785ff5

Realised P&L
$-76.38
Volume
$34.5k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$23.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5600.555$23.78−$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:29Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?BUY0.56$24.00
09-23 06:08Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?SELL0.869$4.43
09-22 07:12Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.879$4.48
08-24 16:57Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?BUY0.989$5.04
08-24 16:56Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?BUY0.95$4.84
08-24 16:55Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?BUY0.964$4.92
08-24 16:54US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?SELL0.999$5.09
08-20 16:53US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?BUY0.968$4.94
08-20 16:52Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?BUY0.963$4.91
08-20 16:50Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026?BUY0.98$5.00
08-20 16:50Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026?BUY0.92$4.69
07-28 14:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.9971470588$5.09
07-28 14:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.999$5.09
07-28 14:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.999$5.09
07-28 14:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.447$2.28