PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NBClover

0xb58120a869601abf58606505e15817ea1d5db496

Realised P&L
$7.3k
Volume
$847.3k
Markets traded
478
Open portfolio
$984.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded478
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.8230.290$359.88$661.63
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6350.220$242.26$457.01
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2080.110$132.00$117.89
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · Yes0.4700.235$110.14$110.09
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3670.055$74.83$425.17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3900.255$39.23$20.77
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5490.070$25.47$174.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:37Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.6557563992$100.00
08-02 20:50Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?SELL0.999$285.03
08-02 20:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?BUY0.9869999996$10.00
08-02 16:22Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?BUY0.7$15.00
08-02 14:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?SELL0.999$105.15
08-02 13:46Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.9181636715$40.00
08-02 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.8999999892$50.00
08-02 13:03Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.6739735605$28.32
08-02 12:30Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.6935637272$100.00
08-02 12:30Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.999$104.06
08-01 23:47Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.9599999962$100.00
08-01 23:37Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?BUY0.95$100.00
08-01 23:37Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2?BUY0.4457652285$100.00
08-01 23:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1?SELL0.999$114.62
08-01 23:35Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?SELL0.999$264.25