DSW-328.J7
0xb58120a869601abf58606505e15817ea1d5db496
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $862.3k
- Markets traded
- 532
- Open portfolio
- $463.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded532
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.255 | $316.45 | −$705.06 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.284 | $77.18 | −$95.09 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.033 | $44.22 | −$455.78 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.065 | $23.65 | −$176.35 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.044 | $1.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.164US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$4.1kat 0.209US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.316US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.382US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.740US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:29 | Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1281573682 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.6953333333 | $20.86 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.4578090609 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.2902840773 | $19.00 |
| 09-16 19:44 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.9438883094 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.932664591 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.9526311164 | $51.00 |
| 09-15 17:23 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.1892715819 | $42.51 |
| 09-15 17:23 | Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.191 | $1.53 |
| 09-15 16:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.8190718449 | $45.00 |
| 09-15 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.7176696869 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.6949711843 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 04:01 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.3120545396 | $38.56 |