NBClover
0xb58120a869601abf58606505e15817ea1d5db496
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $847.3k
- Markets traded
- 478
- Open portfolio
- $984.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded478
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.290 | $359.88 | −$661.63 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.220 | $242.26 | −$457.01 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.110 | $132.00 | −$117.89 |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.235 | $110.14 | −$110.09 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.055 | $74.83 | −$425.17 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.255 | $39.23 | −$20.77 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.070 | $25.47 | −$174.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.656 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.164US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$4.1kat 0.209US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.316US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.382US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.740US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6557563992 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $285.03 |
| 08-02 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $105.15 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9181636715 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.8999999892 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6739735605 | $28.32 |
| 08-02 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6935637272 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $104.06 |
| 08-01 23:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9599999962 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.4457652285 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $114.62 |
| 08-01 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $264.25 |