0x57A7c9eE02D18413EBb38de39Cc211152F588523-1777643863411
0xb57418c347ad249e0617471bf528de105336f7af
- Realised P&L
- $6.93
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $11.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.27at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
- +$13.24at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 5?
- +$10.94at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 17?
- +$9.68at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?
- +$9.61at 0.241Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.02 |
| 09-18 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |