0xb571c5d5e46d1ae6ae360f45f7866aba56cdb642
0xb571c5d5e46d1ae6ae360f45f7866aba56cdb642
- Realised P&L
- $-1.82
- Volume
- $297.18
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.981 | $1.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
- +$3.83at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.58at 0.364Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 09:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:39 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 05:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 08:02 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 22:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:02 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 22:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 13:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 17:38 | Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |