Substantial-Cord
0xb56dd7559c4abda88a66d980bc200285228f0d39
- Realised P&L
- $412.46
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,001
- Open portfolio
- $9.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,001
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.62at 0.444Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$55.05at 0.098US strike on Syria by December 19?
- +$43.14at 0.147Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$31.67at 0.240UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$24.94at 0.275US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:34 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 16:13 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.94 |
| 10-15 15:24 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 23? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.22 |
| 10-15 14:30 | Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.26 |
| 10-15 11:54 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.35 |
| 10-14 21:24 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.23 |
| 10-14 21:04 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.72 |
| 10-14 20:43 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.42 |
| 10-14 16:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.88 |
| 10-14 05:59 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.24 |
| 10-12 19:07 | Will Trump say "Shit" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.99 |
| 10-12 18:23 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Ohio not air? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.25 |
| 10-12 17:00 | Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 10-12 16:44 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.55 |
| 10-12 16:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |