PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xB5613A1A8Ea9Bc877Bc600Ab7737233a14168900-1767754412090

0xb5613a1a8ea9bc877bc600ab7737233a14168900

Realised P&L
$7.82
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$51.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3740.235$42.64$25.28
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6800.145$8.70$32.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 19:05Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.36$4.05
04-13 18:22Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.3686956522$42.40
04-12 18:00Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.3889039855$21.47
03-28 05:37Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)BUY0.529999965$4.96
03-28 05:37Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5BUY0.5099999786$9.91
03-20 20:20Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?SELL0.97$54.52
03-16 16:53Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?BUY0.841$8.41
03-16 05:47Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?BUY0.8439600575$39.00
03-16 05:19Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.68$40.80
03-16 05:07Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.999$121.97
03-07 22:19US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.2$15.00
03-04 05:08Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL0.9921280082$38.75
02-28 20:25Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.065$1.68
02-28 17:50Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.5789999843$15.00
02-28 08:17Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.64$25.00