0xB5613A1A8Ea9Bc877Bc600Ab7737233a14168900-1767754412090
0xb5613a1a8ea9bc877bc600ab7737233a14168900
- Realised P&L
- $7.82
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $51.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.235 | $42.64 | −$25.28 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.145 | $8.70 | −$32.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.07at 0.720Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$28.38at 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$13.76at 0.640Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$7.11at 0.440US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$7.11at 0.843Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 19:05 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.05 |
| 04-13 18:22 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3686956522 | $42.40 |
| 04-12 18:00 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3889039855 | $21.47 |
| 03-28 05:37 | Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) | BUY | 0.529999965 | $4.96 |
| 03-28 05:37 | Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5 | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $9.91 |
| 03-20 20:20 | Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $54.52 |
| 03-16 16:53 | Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | BUY | 0.841 | $8.41 |
| 03-16 05:47 | Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | BUY | 0.8439600575 | $39.00 |
| 03-16 05:19 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $40.80 |
| 03-16 05:07 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.999 | $121.97 |
| 03-07 22:19 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 05:08 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | SELL | 0.9921280082 | $38.75 |
| 02-28 20:25 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.065 | $1.68 |
| 02-28 17:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5789999843 | $15.00 |
| 02-28 08:17 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |