sara90
0xb55d5a8da5cef0506da092eb32189bfee9a1161e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $29.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-65.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.340 | $29.41 | −$13.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.28at 0.360Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
- +$2.15at 0.350Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$1.97at 0.980Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
- +$1.44at 0.980OpenAI browser in July?
- +$0.58at 0.960Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:59 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.24 |
| 01-30 15:27 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.29 |
| 01-30 14:55 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.52 |
| 01-30 14:36 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $16.41 |
| 01-30 13:12 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.20 |
| 12-30 10:28 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.55 |
| 12-29 22:47 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.76 |
| 12-29 20:37 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $38.22 |
| 12-29 19:27 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.9949999952 | $24.99 |
| 10-30 23:36 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.9979999985 | $29.68 |
| 10-30 19:03 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.55 |
| 10-30 17:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.91 |
| 09-29 15:31 | Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.96 |
| 09-29 04:58 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999942 | $17.88 |
| 09-29 02:33 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.17 |