0xb54Ad0c3a0754a04Fe4F930DC8BF14B915241526-1768544176921
0xb54ad0c3a0754a04fe4f930dc8bf14b915241526
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $31.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.145 | $31.54 | −$68.46 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: August · Something | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · No | 0.424 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$88.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.56at 0.390Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?
- +$387.45at 0.376Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$198.67at 0.413Nothing Ever Happens: February
- +$177.42at 0.217Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?
- +$173.09at 0.497Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:39 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | BUY | 0.4597926036 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 16:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.81 | $42.49 |
| 09-18 16:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.8158057706 | $46.37 |
| 09-18 16:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.61 | $139.26 |
| 09-18 16:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.59 | $151.88 |
| 09-18 16:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.81 | $99.83 |
| 09-18 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 03:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.2058823528 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 18:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? | BUY | 0.3806601224 | $250.00 |
| 08-21 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4240684923 | $88.00 |
| 08-19 18:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | SELL | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 08-19 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | SELL | 0.7686368704 | $303.37 |
| 08-11 20:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4104581146 | $162.00 |
| 08-05 15:48 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.6013689225 | $171.68 |
| 08-05 03:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.3 | $150.00 |