PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Art-em

0xb543691a66830ec819edca60c8aeb34a07b37d50

Realised P&L
$-43.57
Volume
$842.07
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$10.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes0.1180.085$10.79$4.20
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$4.23
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6? · No0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00$3.99
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$4.38
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.3060.000$0.00$48.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-23 01:44U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.2999999946$27.65
01-23 01:44Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?SELL0.94$27.65
01-21 19:55U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.289999987$10.28
01-20 20:07U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.3399999815$11.00
01-17 05:08Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999682$4.23
01-17 05:04Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
01-17 05:03U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?SELL0.9363493421$14.23
01-11 20:56Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?BUY0.0936693747$5.00
01-05 12:29Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
12-31 01:53Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?BUY0.1293534372$3.99
12-31 01:48Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?SELL0.56$13.98
12-28 13:10Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?BUY0.4$9.99
12-27 00:32U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999947$8.21
12-27 00:17Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?SELL0.9412585315$18.20
12-12 03:14Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?BUY0.1358879832$9.99