Art-em
0xb543691a66830ec819edca60c8aeb34a07b37d50
- Realised P&L
- $-43.57
- Volume
- $842.07
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.085 | $10.79 | −$4.20 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.23 |
| Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.99 |
| Maduro out in 2025? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.38 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.306 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.65at 0.340Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?
- +$8.28at 0.550First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$8.21at 0.517Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
- +$6.67at 0.600Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.03at 0.540U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 01:44 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.2999999946 | $27.65 |
| 01-23 01:44 | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | SELL | 0.94 | $27.65 |
| 01-21 19:55 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.289999987 | $10.28 |
| 01-20 20:07 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.3399999815 | $11.00 |
| 01-17 05:08 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999682 | $4.23 |
| 01-17 05:04 | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 01-17 05:03 | U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9363493421 | $14.23 |
| 01-11 20:56 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.0936693747 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 12:29 | Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 12-31 01:53 | Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.1293534372 | $3.99 |
| 12-31 01:48 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $13.98 |
| 12-28 13:10 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.99 |
| 12-27 00:32 | U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999947 | $8.21 |
| 12-27 00:17 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | SELL | 0.9412585315 | $18.20 |
| 12-12 03:14 | Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | BUY | 0.1358879832 | $9.99 |