wgg34
0xb5301b6113db54e398ebe3599ee565a5c444d382
- Realised P&L
- $44.38
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $230.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.980 | $230.23 | +$4.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.85at 0.885 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$15.93at 0.920Farcaster airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.83at 0.996Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$0.69at 0.997Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$0.68at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 13:32 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9615169105 | $226.00 |
| 12-19 13:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $226.04 |
| 09-25 02:05 | Astaria airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $225.81 |
| 05-25 07:29 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.9969585929 | $225.12 |
| 03-04 03:57 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9963347696 | $224.30 |
| 01-07 05:12 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8847591597 | $198.45 |
| 10-29 02:57 | Farcaster airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9197378548 | $182.52 |
| 09-24 02:55 | Base airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $182.34 |