NailsBleeding
0xb52c3fcda5ecae2a12dd1a5f7bc76d75ba24450c
- Realised P&L
- $-17.7k
- Volume
- $375.5k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $828.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - South America League Stage 2 Playoffs · FURIA Esports | 0.710 | 0.705 | $606.30 | −$4.30 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.420 | $222.18 | +$37.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.201Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
- +$1.3kat 0.750Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.460Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?
- +$1.1kat 0.707Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
- +$997.62at 0.500Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:23 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.35 | $185.15 |
| 10-12 22:48 | Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - South America League Stage 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.71 | $610.60 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $25.90 |
| 10-12 16:42 | CS 2 de Mayo vs. Sportivo Ameliano: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $180.11 |
| 10-12 12:13 | Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.85 | $179.07 |
| 10-12 11:51 | Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 10-12 11:44 | Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Mena Warriors (+1.5) | BUY | 0.26 | $3.49 |
| 10-12 11:43 | Game Handicap: Dawn Bulls (-1.5) vs Mena Warriors (+1.5) | BUY | 0.30319575 | $242.56 |
| 10-12 11:25 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 10-12 11:04 | Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.88 | $760.13 |
| 10-12 11:01 | Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.65 | $704.89 |
| 10-12 10:41 | Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $90.17 |
| 10-12 10:04 | Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $805.20 |
| 10-12 09:54 | Red Bull Bragantino vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.62 | $94.00 |
| 10-11 18:45 | Spread: CA Patronato Parana (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $468.00 |