PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hsd99

0xb5190b8b16e81ae3d14f38e5b61ac023fa1a81ec

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$955.0k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$19.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.9970.995$19.90−$0.04
Lightning vs. Senators · Lightning0.4900.000$0.00−$504.70
Alabama vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma0.5200.000$0.00−$184.95
Blues vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks0.4500.000$0.00−$405.00
Wild vs. Red Wings · Red Wings0.5000.000$0.00−$495.00
Bruins vs. Hurricanes · Bruins0.3500.000$0.00−$147.00
Stars vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs0.3200.000$0.00−$313.60
Panthers vs. Senators · Panthers0.3000.000$0.00−$297.00
Sabres vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks0.5000.000$0.00−$195.00
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks0.5000.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 06:22Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.997$19.94
09-16 12:55Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 17?BUY0.999$12.99
09-16 12:54Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.999$9.99
09-16 12:54Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.997$9.97
08-28 11:52Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
08-19 13:43Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.994$8.95
08-19 13:43Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
08-19 13:42Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
08-19 13:42Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
08-19 13:42Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.998$19.96
08-19 13:42Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.998$19.96
08-04 15:31Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.997$18.94
08-04 15:30Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
08-04 15:30Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
08-04 15:30Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99