hsd99
0xb5190b8b16e81ae3d14f38e5b61ac023fa1a81ec
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $955.0k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $19.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $19.90 | −$0.04 |
| Lightning vs. Senators · Lightning | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$504.70 |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma · Oklahoma | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$184.95 |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$405.00 |
| Wild vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$495.00 |
| Bruins vs. Hurricanes · Bruins | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.00 |
| Stars vs. Maple Leafs · Maple Leafs | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.60 |
| Panthers vs. Senators · Panthers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$297.00 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.00at 0.500Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tien
- +$240.00at 0.500Panthers vs. Penguins
- +$224.00at 0.440Wild vs. Predators
- +$102.95at 0.450Senators vs. Jets
- +$100.00at 0.500Flyers vs. Jets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:22 | Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 09-16 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 09-16 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-28 11:52 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:43 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.95 |
| 08-19 13:43 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:42 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:42 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:42 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-19 13:42 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-04 15:31 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.94 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-04 15:30 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |