0xb513e6536c84f8cA9e33658F78850CD9cfcCB9a6-1760992327011
0xb513e6536c84f8ca9e33658f78850cd9cfccb9a6
- Realised P&L
- $778.69
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $7.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.090 | $4.91 | −$15.09 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.051 | $2.53 | −$17.47 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.88at 0.681SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$350.46at 0.694SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
- +$210.70at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$195.44at 0.505France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
- +$98.00at 0.020Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 20:37 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $87.99 |
| 07-19 19:46 | Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 19:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.596999989 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 19:41 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4124999959 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 19:40 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6029999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.404 | $45.91 |
| 07-19 17:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 17:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5599999972 | $40.00 |
| 07-19 07:51 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1949999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 23:54 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.075 | $9.00 |
| 07-18 23:53 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999869 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 23:52 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $24.47 |
| 07-18 15:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999997 | $85.00 |
| 07-16 20:08 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0290000001 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 19:21 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |