0xb513a90FfD4C90e0031b8B048d00f9bF29151848-1782560423224
0xb513a90ffd4c90e0031b8b048d00f9bf29151848
- Realised P&L
- $4.75
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $3.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.76at 0.169Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?
- +$13.96at 0.085Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
- +$10.81at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
- +$5.65at 0.242Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?
- +$4.86at 0.512Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.61 |
| 09-22 03:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.1949999954 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 02:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1189999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:41 | Bitcoin above 85,600 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:41 | Bitcoin above 85,800 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:37 | Bitcoin above 85,600 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:34 | Bitcoin above 85,800 on September 21, 10PM ET? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.43 |
| 09-22 01:20 | Bitcoin above 85,800 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:19 | Bitcoin above 85,600 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 01:04 | Bitcoin above 85,400 on September 21, 10PM ET? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 00:56 | Bitcoin above 86,000 on September 21, 9PM ET? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:54 | Bitcoin above 86,200 on September 21, 9PM ET? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:54 | Bitcoin above 86,200 on September 21, 9PM ET? | SELL | 0.78 | $8.07 |
| 09-22 00:04 | Bitcoin above 86,600 on September 21, 9PM ET? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |