Chasek
0xb5126ca381e11675ea24391daa19ac4b3b4a9a16
- Realised P&L
- $1.21
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $143.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? · No | 0.892 | 0.915 | $102.59 | +$2.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $30.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.415 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.455 | $4.74 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.37at 0.816Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?
- +$17.44at 0.851Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5?
- +$12.03at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?
- +$8.89at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?
- +$8.89at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.899999976 | $30.00 |
| 08-06 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.2470740103 | $2.87 |
| 08-06 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $122.37 |
| 08-06 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8918926953 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8163476594 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8514851481 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.027972028 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1346153618 | $5.00 |