Chasek
0xb5126ca381e11675ea24391daa19ac4b3b4a9a16
- Realised P&L
- $-128.50
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $49.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? · No | 0.710 | 0.635 | $26.46 | −$3.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.295 | $22.83 | −$6.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.60at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?
- +$22.44at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?
- +$22.04at 0.577Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?
- +$21.45at 0.824Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?
- +$18.26at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.3761237667 | $29.11 |
| 09-26 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $29.58 |
| 09-25 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4919967987 | $12.29 |
| 09-24 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $29.70 |
| 09-24 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5580991159 | $29.36 |
| 09-23 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.7399999825 | $29.64 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.659999996 | $29.52 |
| 09-22 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6084912492 | $20.17 |
| 09-20 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7533333333 | $11.30 |
| 09-20 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6289325631 | $29.46 |
| 09-19 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5644039785 | $29.38 |
| 09-19 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3973871793 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.352350401 | $39.98 |
| 09-19 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3525091775 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7899999987 | $29.71 |